Long RELIANCE 2,680.00 to 2,700.00, SL 2,632.00, T1 2,752.00, T2 2,810.00, T3 2,880.00. 4d hold.
Conviction 0.74. Size ₹ 1.20 L (₹ 40.0 K risk).
- 01Composite Z Strong
- 02Sector Relative Positive
- 03Ketkar Analog Match
- 04Vsa Stage 4
IV rank reverts above 50, or FII rolling 5d net flow turns negative.
Short 2680 PE plus Long 2580 PE, expiry 2026-05-22.
Max-loss ₹ 14,000. Theta ₹ 1,200 per day.
FALSIFIER PASSQWEN 235B / KILL PANELEXPAND
Strongest counter: oil tape weakening if Brent breaks 79. Tested: Brent 81.06, 5-day delta plus 1.2 percent. KETKAR cross-decade analog 2017-Sep K=22 outperformed in 17 of 22 windows. PASS at p=0.034.