Vol. II / Issue 137Mumbai Edition
The Ghatak Desk
घातकMotilal F&O Research, Bombay
  
NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%EXPIRY THU IN d h m
Lens dossier / Sector Rotator

RATHOD

Places 9 NIFTY sectors on the RS quadrant. Vetoes picks from lagging/weakening unless documented counter-cyclical.

Lineage: Druckenmiller sector, Stovall, Mayer, Murphy, Pring

Hit Rate 60

64%

Alpha to Date

₹ 2.86 L

Votes Today

9

Council Rank

#7

Authority

Veto on picks from Lagging or Weakening sectors absent counter-cyclical thesis.

Manifesto / In the lens's own words

01I trade the relative not the absolute.

02AMFI MF-flow tailwind is a second-derivative sector signal nobody watches.

03Sector narrative from news must agree with price-based RS. Contradiction is the signal.

04Forward rotation prediction over 10-year DB is regime-conditioned. Otherwise it is astrology.

Signature Alpha

LLM-augmented sector narrative fused with price RS. Regime-conditioned forward rotation. AMFI MF-flow as 2nd derivative.

Model Routing

Haiku 4.5 daily. Sonnet 4.6 for narrative. Opus weekly for forecast mining.

Rolling hit rate, 60-trade window
60%62%64%Mar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10HIT
Cumulative alpha contribution
2L2L3LMar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10ALPHA INR

Quadrant shifts

  • 01

    Bank moved from Improving to Leading

  • 02

    Energy stuck in Improving for week 4

  • 03

    IT in Lagging, watch for capitulation

Closed picks, this lens

ClosedSymbolSideTFEntryExitP&LGradeResult
02 May 2026JINDALSTELSHORTs1962962₹ 05.4TIMED_OUT