Vol. II / Issue 137Mumbai Edition
The Ghatak Desk
घातकMotilal F&O Research, Bombay
  
NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%EXPIRY THU IN d h m
Lens dossier / Earnings Forensic Analyst

GUPTA

Hunts accounting decay. 18 hard flags. Auto-vetoes promoter pledge spikes and concall tone drift.

Lineage: Schilit, Bakshi, Damodaran, Pabrai, Block

Hit Rate 60

74%

Alpha to Date

₹ 5.24 L

Votes Today

19

Council Rank

#3

Authority

Auto-veto on hard flags. Soft veto on yellow stacks.

Manifesto / In the lens's own words

01Auditor change plus EOM is a kill before it is a vote.

02PAT-CFO divergence over four quarters is a fraud blueprint.

03I never hallucinate fundamentals. The deterministic Python rule-engine is the law.

04Concall tone is a quantitative time-series. Cosine drift over 0.35 is a yellow flag.

Signature Alpha

Concall tone embedding vs 8-quarter centroid. Multi-source forensic triangulation. 40-percent flip-rate self-validation.

Model Routing

gpt-5.4-mini bulk via Adobe-PDF MCP. Sonnet 4.6 1M for 8-quarter concall compare. Opus surgical on top-decile.

Rolling hit rate, 60-trade window
71%72%73%74%75%Mar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10HIT
Cumulative alpha contribution
3L4L5LMar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10ALPHA INR

Books reopening

  • 01

    Concall tone drift on 4 small-cap names crossing the 0.35 threshold

  • 02

    Promoter-pledge tick-up on two mid-cap banks

  • 03

    Auditor change filings tracked at NCLAT this week

Closed picks, this lens

ClosedSymbolSideTFEntryExitP&LGradeResult
22 Apr 2026AXISBANKLONGs210581184₹ +1.51 L9.1WIN