Vol. II / Issue 137Mumbai Edition
The Ghatak Desk
घातकMotilal F&O Research, Bombay
  
NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%NIFTY 5022,512.40+0.32%BANKNIFTY48,168.10+0.58%INDIA VIX12.84-2.18%USDINR83.42-0.11%BRENT81.06+0.74%DXY104.18+0.06%GOLD MCX74,210+0.42%GIFT NIFTY22,538+0.28%FII NET 5D+4,280 Cr0.00%EXPIRY THU IN d h m
Lens dossier / Macro Strategist

CHANAKYA

Sets the regime gate. The desk only sizes through his multiplier.

Lineage: Druckenmiller, Soros, Dalio, Zulauf

Hit Rate 60

71%

Alpha to Date

₹ 6.12 L

Votes Today

14

Council Rank

#1

Authority

Gate state multiplies ABHIMANYU sizing by 1.0 / 0.5 / 0.25 / 0.0.

Manifesto / In the lens's own words

01Regime is destiny. Stock-picking inside the wrong regime is theatre.

02I parse RBI and FOMC statements with Opus 4.7 every night.

03Reflexivity Divergence Flag fires when price and fundamentals diverge. Soros operationalized.

04Pre-policy: sell vol with mechanical hedge. Post-policy: review the bias, never override.

Signature Alpha

LLM-native central-bank statement parser. Reflexivity-Divergence-Flag. Pre-policy options-seller playbook.

Model Routing

Opus 4.7 xhigh for statement parsing. gpt-5.4-mini for FRED ingest. Haiku 4.5 for polling.

Rolling hit rate, 60-trade window
66%68%70%72%Mar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10HIT
Cumulative alpha contribution
3L4L5L6LMar 15Mar 22Mar 29Apr 05Apr 12Apr 19Apr 26May 03May 10ALPHA INR

Macro radar

  • 01

    RBI MPC three weeks out, no surprise priced

  • 02

    Fed FOMC June dot-plot revision risk on the cards

  • 03

    USD-INR weakness fading as IT tailwind, watch for reversal

Closed picks, this lens

ClosedSymbolSideTFEntryExitP&LGradeResult
28 Apr 2026BAJFINANCELONGs168186982₹ +20.5 K7.8WIN